ES -- DX/CL -- isee -- cboe put/call -- specialist/public short ratio -- trinq -- trin -- aaii bull ratio -- abx -- cmbx -- cdx -- vxo p&f -- SPX volatility curve -- VIX:VXO skew -- commodity screen -- cot -- conference board

Wednesday, October 27, 2004


predictions, round one

kerry 308, bush 230

kerry 49.6%, bush 48.5%

round two

Your prediction surprises me. For what it's worth, I think G.W. will win.

If we are talking only 1.1% difference in the popular vote that means the loser will fight losses in every battleground state. Do James Baker and James Carville have their bags packed ready to go from state to state claiming victory? This election will be UGLIER than even we can imagine.

BTW: Am I allowed to use uppercase in my comments?

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