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Thursday, January 24, 2008


monoline bailouts?

there are a lot of technical reasons for a bounce here, but one reason to hope that it might be durable emerged (via dash of insight) in the possibility of a bailout for the monolines.

the greatest possible disaster that could emerge from this bear market would be a downward spiral of counterparty defaults in the credit default swap market. this would head off the most imminent threat in that direction.

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